Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2026 | ISW
Russian forces may launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) at Ukraine in the next 24 to 48 hours.
understandingwar.orgwas seen at the event to project strength economic stability for Russia Day, Zelensky open letter calling for an immediate ceasefire along Ukraine's frontline and a potential in-person talks; ISW's assessment June 12 signals a possible Oreshnik IRBM launch toward Ukraine within the next 24 to 48 hours. Operational pauses and ongoing northern Sumy Oblast operations; domestic security actions restricting opposition groups along the election timeline. Observers' view adds military strains at the front while Russia aims to project strength.